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1. Derrick Williams, F, Arizona Wildcats
The Good: Williams is, along with Kenneth Faried, the most efficient player in college basketball. He's a proven low-post scoring threat, especially off the dribble. But he's added a killer 3-point shot to his arsenal this season. (He's shooting an insane 60 percent from 3.)
The Bad: Not much. He's a bit of a tweener. He's going to have to be a 3 in the NBA. He's a solid athlete, but not an elite one.
The Upside: Williams was not a blue-chip recruit coming out of high school, which means the NBA has been a little slow on the uptake. But not anymore. Every NBA team I've spoken with has him in the top five on their board. While no one thinks he'll be a superstar, they think he's going to be a terrific pro in an otherwise so-so draft.
2. Kemba Walker, PG, Connecticut Huskies
The Good: Walker may be small in stature, but he has a HUGE heart. He has taken UConn on his back this season and has become one of the most prolific scorers in college basketball. He has great quickness, speed in the open court and has really improved his jump shot this season.
The Bad: He's probably closer to 5-foot-9 or 5-10 than the listed 6-1 height. Is he really a point guard? He doesn't seem to have the same feel that other top point guards do.
The Upside: I wouldn't bet against Walker, especially not after his heroic performances at the Maui Invitational and Big East tournament. He's fearless. If there was one guy you'd put your money on to have a big tournament, it's him. The rest of his team may let him down, but Walker has earned the respect of everyone, including NBA GMs. A likely top-10 pick.
3. Kawhi Leonard, F, San Diego State Aztecs
The Good: A long, athletic forward with huge hands, a great motor and the ability to score from just about everywhere. He's a great rebounder too.
The Bad: Another player without a well-defined position. Ideally he'd be a few inches taller. He's not a great shooter yet. Can disappear sometimes in big games.
The Upside: Last year we had Leonard listed as a sleeper. Now that he plays on the No. 6 team in the country, that sort of talk has died down. But now the expectations may be almost too high for him. He's still developing his game offensively, but when you watch him, it's hard not to see what makes him special. NBA scouts love guys with intangibles, and Leonard appears to have them.
4. Tristan Thompson, PF, Texas Longhorns
The Good: Thompson is, in the words of our David Thorpe, "a beast." He's one of the better offensive rebounders in the country, has developed a solid offensive game, plays his heart out and is a terrific athlete with long arms.
The Bad: He's still a bit raw offensively. He's undersized for his position. Still working on a perimeter game.
The Upside: Thompson got off to a bit of a slow start, but he's often been Texas' best player down the stretch. Jordan Hamilton is a much flashier player, but it's the dirty work that Thompson is willing to do in the paint that pushes him ahead of Hamilton on many draft boards.
5. Mason Plumlee, PF/C, Duke Blue Devils
The Good: Plumlee is a terrific athlete. He runs the floor well and can jump out of the gym. He's a very good rebounder and shot-blocker.
The Bad: He's still really raw offensively. He doesn't have much of a low-post game yet.
The Upside: Plumlee was supposed to have a breakout season for Duke this year, but it hasn't really happened. He's not featured in their offense and has really relied on putbacks for his offense this season. Still, scouts are undeterred in their belief that he's a potential lottery pick. You just don't find many players with his size and athleticism.
SLEEPER: Keith Benson, PF/C, Oakland Golden Grizzlies
The Good: Benson is another great athlete who runs the floor well and shows excellent quickness and athletic ability for a big man. He's a very good shot-blocker, rebounder and even has a face-the-basket game out to about 15 feet.
The Bad: He lacks strength to play in the post. He can get a bit lazy at times and doesn't always engage every play. He struggled to defend stronger players in the paint.
The Upside: Scouts have wanted to write him off for two seasons, but Benson has been too good to ignore. Oakland has played a number of tough opponents, and Benson has produced. If he can do it on the biggest stage, he could easily move into the first round. There just aren't many big men in this draft.
Others to watch: Jordan Hamilton, F, Texas; Tobias Harris, F, Tennessee; Nolan Smith, G, Duke; Kyle Singler, F, Duke; Darius Morris, PG, Michigan; Scotty Hopson, SG, Tennessee; Alex Oriakhi, PF, UConn; Cory Joseph, PG, Texas; Yancy Gates, PF, Cincinnati; J'Covan Brown, G, Texas; Wesley Witherspoon, F, Memphis; Roscoe Smith, F, UConn; Seth Curry, G, Duke; Talor Battle, G, Penn State; Tim Hardaway Jr., G, Michigan; Lavoy Allen, PF, Temple; Will Barton, G, Memphis; Will Coleman, PF, Memphis.
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