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The Southwest Region has a lot of talent but not many NBA draft lottery prospects. While the East Region had as many as five potential lottery picks and a few other potential first-rounders, this Southwest group really only has one or two.
1. Marcus Morris, Markieff Morris and Thomas Robinson, Fs, Kansas Jayhawks
The Good: Kansas has the best front line in the NCAA. Marcus Morris is the best offensive prospect of the group. His ability to be equally effective with his back to the basket and on the perimeter is special. Markieff Morris has improved his offensive game, though it's not quite equal to Marcus' yet. Markieff, however, is an inch taller and has proven to be a better rebounder and shot-blocker. Robinson comes off the bench for Kansas, but on most teams he'd not only be a starter but a star. Robinson is the most athletic of the group. He has a crazy motor, plays terrific defense and is an emerging offensive player in his own right.
The Bad: Scouts are worried that Marcus may be a tweener in the NBA. His natural position in college has been at the 4, but teams feel he may need to switch to the 3 in the pros. Is he quick enough? Markieff is still a bit rawer than Marcus offensively. Will he be a consistent enough threat in the pros to warrant a lottery pick? Robinson has the most physical tools, but he's the rawest of the three with the ball in his hands. He has talent, but it's still emerging.
The Upside: This may surprise Kansas fans, but most of the NBA execs and scouts I speak with have Robinson ranked as the best pro prospect of the Jayhawks. His elite athleticism and NBA-ready body have scouts drooling. If he declares this year, he's a likely lottery pick. Scouts debate about whether Marcus or Markieff will be the better pro prospect. Marcus is more polished, while Markieff has a physical advantage that matters in the pros. All three will hear their names in the first round if they declare for the draft.
2. Kenneth Faried, PF, Morehead State Eagles
The Good: Faried is the best rebounder in college basketball. He has a crazy motor and is a terrific athlete. His offensive game has been slowly coming along, too.
The Bad: Faried is a bit undersized for his position. He also lacks the strength NBA teams are looking for at the 4. Can he get anything going offensively in the NBA?
The Upside: For the past two years, we've listed Faried in the "sleeper" category. No more. NBA scouts know him well, and many believe he'll be a lottery pick on draft night. His energy and knack for grabbing rebounds is elite -- some go so far to say Dennis Rodman-esque. A big game or two for Morehead State should be the icing on a terrific career.
3. Jeff Taylor, F, Vanderbilt Commodores
The Good: Taylor is one of the best athletes in the game. He's an explosive leaper who excels out in transition. He has dramatically improved his jump shot over the past three years.
The Bad: Taylor still hasn't had that breakout year that scouts predicted he'd have. He still struggles to dominate offensively (he rarely takes guys off the dribble), and even though his shot is much better it still needs work for the next level.
The Upside: His athletic ability alone makes him a legit first-round prospect. If he were to land on the right team (think one that gets out in transition a lot) he could have a great pro career. He has wilted a bit in big games over the past few years. If he can take over in the tournament, he could rocket up the draft board.
4. JaJuan Johnson, F, Purdue Boilermakers
The Good: Johnson is a long, athletic and big with a surprising face-the-basket game. He has improved every year in school, is a proven shot-blocker and has dramatically increased his free throw percentage.
The Bad: Scouts are still figuring out exactly how his game translates at the next level. He lacks the strength to mix it up inside but doesn't quite have the perimeter skills to dominate at the next level.
The Upside: Sometimes scouts overscout seniors. Johnson has improved so much and he has the athleticism scouts are always looking for. He just needs to show he can fit into a role in the pros. If Purdue goes deep, he may finally convince them he's a legit first-round pick.
5. Khris Middleton, G/F, Texas A&M Aggies
The Good: Middleton has a great midrange game. He can get his shot off against just about everyone.
The Bad: He's thin. He's not always aggressive hunting for his shot. He could improve his 3-point shooting.
The Upside: Middleton is ranked No. 39 on our board, but it's a bit deceptive. A few teams have him ranked much, much higher and think he could be a Richard Hamilton-type player in the NBA. If Middleton and Texas A&M get it going the next few weeks, he's going to rise. He seems like the type of prospect that is going to succeed at the next level.
Sleeper: Justin Harper, F, Richmond Spiders
The Good: Harper is a face-the-basket 4, who has been on fire from the 3-point line this season, shooting a red-hot 46 percent from 3. His length and athleticism are also big pluses at the next level.
The Bad: He's fallen in love with the jumper and sometimes becomes a bit one-dimensional. For his size, he should be a better rebounder and shot-blocker. Some scouts think he's a bit on the soft side.
The Upside: Harper really didn't get much NBA buzz until his breakout senior season. Now he's all the rage. He is No. 33 on our Big Board, but all he really needs is a big performance to boost him safely into the first round.
Others to watch: Josh Selby, G, Kansas; Chris Singleton, F, Florida State; Jereme Richmond, F, Illinois; Demetri McCamey, PG, Illinois; Tyshawn Taylor, PG, Kansas; Festus Ezeli, C, Vanderbilt; E'Twaun Moore, G/F, Purdue; Ben Hansbrough, G, Notre Dame; Nikola Vucevic, F, USC; John Jenkins, G, Vanderbilt; Xavier Gibson, PF, Florida State; Jon Kreft, C, Florida State; Peyton Siva, PG, Louisville, Terrence Jennings, PF, Louisville; Michael Snaer, SG, Florida State; Brandon Paul, SG, Illinois; Mike Davis, PF, Illinois; Elijah Johnson, PG, Kansas; Austin Freeman, G, Georgetown; Alex Stepheson, PF, USC; Chris Wright, G, Georgetown.
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